Wofford
W-L: (19-13) PR = 95.0138Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H George Mason A10 (23-10, 96.6) 46-70 1108 A WI-Milw HL (12-20, 94.6) 86-76 1111 H Auburn SEC A (22-16, 97.7) 62-93 1115 A Bellarmine AS (13-19, 94.4) 94-86 1119 A No Florida AS ( 7-26, 93.5) 86-78 1121 A ERSKI 81-57 1126 H No Kentucky HL (20-14, 95.3) 83-93 1129 A Ea Kentucky AS (11-21, 94.2) 83-77 1203 A Presbyterian BSO (15-18, 94.4) 63-56 1206 H Elon CA (14-18, 94.9) 52-73 1215 A Gardner-Webb BSO ( 5-29, 92.9) 83-57 1217 H Wichita St AME (24-12, 96.6) 73-84 1228 A UNION 88-54 1231 A We Carolina SO W (15-17, 94.8) 79-74 103 A The Citadel SO (11-22, 93.9) 95-86 107 A UNCG SO U (14-20, 94.5) 97-85 110 H Mercer SO M (19-13, 95.2) 97-** 114 H Chattanooga SO U (13-19, 94.2) 67-76 117 A Furman SO F (23-13, 95.4) 74-70 121 A Samford SO S (18-14, 95.1) 88-78 124 A Mercer SO M (19-13, 95.2) 80-77 129 A Chattanooga SO U (13-19, 94.2) 81-55 201 H Ea Tenn St SO E (23-11, 95.4) 72-86 204 A VMI SO ( 6-26, 93.1) 81-67 207 A We Carolina SO W (15-17, 94.8) 77-66 211 H Samford SO S (18-14, 95.1) 80-97 214 H UNCG SO U (14-20, 94.5) 89-99 218 A VMI SO ( 6-26, 93.1) 82-76 221 H Furman SO F (23-13, 95.4) 67-76 225 A Ea Tenn St SO E (23-11, 95.4) 72-69 228 H The Citadel SO (11-22, 93.9) 90-93 307 H UNCG SO U (14-20, 94.5) 72-75
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H George Mason 46-70 -24 -2 -0.44
1108 A WI-Milw 86-76 10 0 1.59
1111 H Auburn 62-93 -31 -3 0.00
1115 A Bellarmine 94-86 8 1 1.43
1119 A No Florida 86-78 8 1 0.54
1126 H No Kentucky 83-93 -10 0 -1.75
1129 A Ea Kentucky 83-77 6 1 1.19
1203 A Presbyterian 63-56 7 1 1.37
1206 H Elon 52-73 -21 0 - -2.14
1215 A Gardner-Webb 83-57 26 2 0.00
1217 H Wichita St 73-84 -11 -2 -0.38
1231 A We Carolina 79-74 5 0 1.83
103 A The Citadel 95-86 9 1 0.92
107 A UNCG 97-85 12 0 1.52
110 H Mercer 97-** -12 0 -1.83
114 H Chattanooga 67-76 -9 1 - -2.83
117 A Furman 74-70 4 0 + 2.37
121 A Samford 88-78 10 0 + 2.08
124 A Mercer 80-77 3 0 + 2.19
129 A Chattanooga 81-55 26 1 1.19
201 H Ea Tenn St 72-86 -14 0 -1.58
204 A VMI 81-67 14 2 0.08
207 A We Carolina 77-66 11 0 1.83
211 H Samford 80-97 -17 0 -1.94
214 H UNCG 89-99 -10 1 - -2.50
218 A VMI 82-76 6 2 0.08
221 H Furman 67-76 -9 0 -1.65
225 A Ea Tenn St 72-69 3 0 + 2.44
228 H The Citadel 90-93 -3 1 - -3.10
307 H UNCG 72-75 -3 1 - -2.50
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1206 H Elon 52-73 -21 0 - -2.14 114 H Chattanooga 67-76 -9 1 - -2.83 214 H UNCG 89-99 -10 1 - -2.50 228 H The Citadel 90-93 -3 1 - -3.10 307 H UNCG 72-75 -3 1 - -2.50 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 117 A Furman 74-70 4 0 + 2.37 121 A Samford 88-78 10 0 + 2.08 124 A Mercer 80-77 3 0 + 2.19 225 A Ea Tenn St 72-69 3 0 + 2.44 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H George Mason (23-10, 96.6) 46-70 -3.31 4.16 -0.01 1.10 -1.83
3 A WI-Milw (12-20, 94.6) 86-76 -5.31 2.17 0.01 1.10 4.79
3 H Auburn (22-16, 97.7) 62-93 -2.19 5.29 -0.01 1.10 -1.21
3 A Bellarmine (13-19, 94.4) 94-86 -5.47 2.01 0.01 1.10 4.44
3 A No Florida ( 7-26, 93.5) 86-78 -6.36 1.12 0.01 1.10 2.49
3 H No Kentucky (20-14, 95.3) 83-93 -4.63 2.85 -0.01 1.10 -2.55
3 A Ea Kentucky (11-21, 94.2) 83-77 -5.71 1.77 0.01 1.10 3.91
3 A Presbyterian (15-18, 94.4) 63-56 -5.53 1.95 0.01 1.10 4.31
3 H Elon (14-18, 94.9) 52-73 -5.01 2.46 -0.01 1.10 -2.76
3 A Gardner-Webb ( 5-29, 92.9) 83-57 -7.05 1.00 0.01 1.10 2.22
3 H Wichita St (24-12, 96.6) 73-84 -3.25 4.22 -0.01 1.10 -1.80
3 A We Carolina (15-17, 94.8) 79-74 -5.06 2.41 0.01 1.10 5.33
3 A The Citadel (11-22, 93.9) 95-86 -5.97 1.50 0.01 1.10 3.33
3 A UNCG (14-20, 94.5) 97-85 -5.38 2.10 0.01 1.10 4.64
3 H Mercer (19-13, 95.2) 97-** -4.70 2.77 -0.01 1.10 -2.59
3 H Chattanooga (13-19, 94.2) 67-76 -5.71 1.77 -0.01 1.10 -3.15
3 A Furman (23-13, 95.4) 74-70 -4.53 2.95 0.01 1.10 6.50
3 A Samford (18-14, 95.1) 88-78 -4.81 2.67 0.01 1.10 5.89
3 A Mercer (19-13, 95.2) 80-77 -4.70 2.77 0.01 1.10 6.13
3 A Chattanooga (13-19, 94.2) 81-55 -5.71 1.77 0.01 1.10 3.91
3 H Ea Tenn St (23-11, 95.4) 72-86 -4.46 3.02 -0.01 1.10 -2.46
3 A VMI ( 6-26, 93.1) 81-67 -6.82 1.00 0.01 1.10 2.22
3 A We Carolina (15-17, 94.8) 77-66 -5.06 2.41 0.01 1.10 5.33
3 H Samford (18-14, 95.1) 80-97 -4.81 2.67 -0.01 1.10 -2.65
3 H UNCG (14-20, 94.5) 89-99 -5.38 2.10 -0.01 1.10 -2.96
3 A VMI ( 6-26, 93.1) 82-76 -6.82 1.00 0.01 1.10 2.22
3 H Furman (23-13, 95.4) 67-76 -4.53 2.95 -0.01 1.10 -2.50
3 A Ea Tenn St (23-11, 95.4) 72-69 -4.46 3.02 0.01 1.10 6.66
3 H The Citadel (11-22, 93.9) 90-93 -5.97 1.50 -0.01 1.10 -3.29
3 H UNCG (14-20, 94.5) 72-75 -5.38 2.10 -0.01 1.10 -2.96
------
41.62
|
winning pts = 74.3355 losing points = -32.7192
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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